San Angelo forecast discussion

Short Term

(Today and tonight) Issued at 1202 AM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026

Rainfall rates have gradually decreased across West Central Texas, with most of the moderate rain decreasing to just at this point. Models show this trend should continue through the early morning hours, likely lingering across the southern counties past sunrise before completely ending by mid to late morning. Flash Flood Watch runs through 12Z and should be able to end it early as the rain continues to wane and the threat ends.

Strong surface pressure gradient will continue through the day today and wind gusting over 40 mph remain possible. Boosted wind speeds in the forecast slightly, and will let the Wind Advisory already in effect continue. Much cooler today behind the cold front. Some of the models hold temperatures in the mid/upper 50s so not going to argue with the model blends showing highs in the upper 50s and lower 60s across the area, depending on how long the cloud cover ends up lingering across the area.

Wind speeds should decrease after sunset, but may not completely drop off. This will allow readings to drop overnight, even though Sunday morning will likely be the better radiational cooling night. Wet soils may have an effect as well. Still, the coolest readings since the middle of April are possible Saturday morning.

Long Term

(Saturday night through next Friday) Issued at 1139 PM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026

After a chilly start to the morning on Saturday, temperatures will slowly warm into the low to mid 60s by afternoon. These highs are 15 to 20 degrees below seasonal normals. Good radiational cooling conditions are forecast Sunday morning, as winds become light and variable and skies remain clear. Overnight lows are forecast to drop into the upper 30s to lower 40s across most of the area. Low-lying areas and river valleys may drop into the mid 30s. A light frost is possible across the area, especially across low-lying areas where the coldest temperatures are forecast. Another cool day is forecast on Sunday with highs in 60s to near 70. Overnight lows will be in the mid to upper 40s.

A steady warm up is then forecast through next week. Highs on Monday will be back into the 70s, with highs on Tuesday approaching 80. Upper level ridging then develops across the area for the second half of the work week, resulting in highs well into the 80s. Dry conditions are forecast to continue through much of the work week.

Aviation

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1159 PM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026

Area of light to occasionally moderate rain continues to gradually decrease across West Central Texas terminals early this morning. This trend should continue into the early morning hours and mainly end before sunrise. Otherwise, MVFR cigs and gusty north to northeast winds will prevail through sunrise. The winds will continue through the day today, eventually decreasing after sunset. Wind gusts above 25 knots are likely, perhaps above 30 knots at times. The MVFR cigs will lift to VFR this morning and then eventually scatter out during the afternoon.

Preliminary Point Temps/Pops

Abilene     61  42  61  40 /   0   0   0   0 
San Angelo  61  40  61  37 /  10   0   0   0 
Junction    62  41  62  38 /  30   0   0   0 
Brownwood   62  42  62  39 /  10   0   0   0 
Sweetwater  59  40  60  39 /   0   0   0   0 
Ozona       59  40  59  38 /  30   0   0   0 
Brady       60  41  60  38 /  20   0   0   0 

Sjt Watches/Warnings/Advisories

Flood Watch until 7 AM CDT this morning for Callahan-Coke- Coleman-Concho-Crockett-Fisher-Haskell-Irion-Jones-Nolan-Runnels- Schleicher-Shackelford-Sterling-Sutton-Taylor-Throckmorton-Tom Green.

Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for Brown-Callahan- Coke-Coleman-Concho-Crockett-Fisher-Haskell-Irion-Jones-Kimble- Mason-McCulloch-Menard-Nolan-Runnels-San Saba-Schleicher- Shackelford-Sterling-Sutton-Taylor-Throckmorton-Tom Green.

SHORT TERM...07 LONG TERM....Daniels AVIATION...07